Doom and Gloom: Robots are taking over the world
We’ve all seen a movie, read a sci-fi book, or caught a glimpse of the former Governor of California kicking robot butt, in which robots take over the world and it’s up to the protagonist to save civilization. It’s a popular script for Hollywood, and has bred a sense of fear towards robots.
But, robots are all around us. Robots are already driving cars for Uber, picking boxes to be shipped by Amazon, putting your cars together, and soon might be pushing your shopping cart at Walmart. Taking robots away today would be a step back, the only step forward is embracing robots.
Technology’s Frantic Pace
In the podcast Exponential Wisdom Dan Sullivan and Peter Diamandis discuss applications of Moore’s Law, the law which states technology, specifically the number of transistors in a chip, doubles every two years. Both hosts agree that the doubling trend will continue into the foreseeable future.
What does this mean? This means we are living in a world where manual labor is being outsourced by robots, the capabilities of robots will continue to double every two years, and our day-to-day tasks will almost assuredly be replaced by robots.
Cannibalizing our jobs today
John Hagel blogs at Edge Perspective and has some wonderful posts on robots taking our jobs. They can be found in full here and here. I am going to pull some of his passages as they apply to the cannibalization of our day-to-day jobs.
Our Day-to-Day Activities
Almost all work tasks we do on a daily basis have evolved from the Industrial revolution, and the need to produce things at scale. The model can be described as scalable efficiency. What are its core components?
- Tightly specify all activities required to generate output.
- Highly standardize all of those activities so that they are done in exactly the same efficient way anywhere in the organization.
- Tightly integrate all of those activities so that we remove all of those inefficient buffers that often separated activities required to yield a specific output.
These are the same principles Henry Ford adopted in the making of Model Ts and what tech startups aim for today. But, do you know who’s really good at completing tasks laid out in the scalable efficiency model? Machines. Robots are really good at completing algorithms and pre-defined, scalable processes. As more and more of our tasks become outlined processes, and robots become more capable of outlining our processes, the day-to-day activities of humans will shrink and be automated away.
Our Future Activities
Since the mundane, scalable tasks will be taken over by machines, what are we left with? Hagel states, “Ultimately the jobs of the future will focus on serving four basic human needs – exploration, connection and creation as well as the learning required to do the first three more effectively.” Instead of working for companies, we will be living a world of entrepreneurship, each one of us being a small business providing one of the four basic needs, preferably all four. It will allow us to find creative uses of our time and to create a profit. This may seem scary for some, but there are ways to prosper.
Setting Ourselves Up for Success
We can prepare ourselves for a future without mundane tasks, and free of day-to-day busy work, by focusing on the things that work towards, exploring, connecting and creating. This will unleash creativity and more time to play with innovations, as noted in this post on Singularity Hub called The End of Meaningless Jobs
Automation certainly won’t mean the death of human work. In the best of all possible worlds, it will mean an end to work that is unfulfilling. For some, that would mean time spent creating and inventing, for others that might mean a lot of time spent playing with all those new creations and inventions.
Creativity, arts, and finding fulfilling hobbies will all be part of the future. We can use our time doing things that make us uniquely human. These are things that machines aren’t capable of. Human to human interactions, love, painting, poetry, enjoying the outdoors – the things that we look at as leisure today – will become our day-to-day “jobs”. Our place in the economy will go from being enslaved to manual labor to opening our creative minds to the world.
Optimism
You shouldn’t be afraid of robots taking over the world like in I-Robot or some sci-fi future like The Matrix, you shouldn’t even be afraid of robots taking over our jobs. Instead you should be thinking “good riddance”. Robots will allow us to be us, human. We will be freed of the mundane tasks that frustrate us on a daily basis and be able to focus on our creative human desires. More from Hagel:
Rather than view this new wave of technology as a threat, we need to view it as an opportunity to redefine work at a very fundamental level. If we do it right, we might actually be able to evolve a form of work that taps into our uniquely human capabilities and restores our humanity. The ultimate paradox is that this technology may become the powerful catalyst that we need to reclaim our humanity.
We can, and must, embrace machines in order to be fulfilled going forward. Although our current jobs will be taken from us, our humanity will be restored, and we can shift our focus towards creativity.
It truly is a great time to be alive.